Billions Outside Prozorro: An Analysis of the Grounds for Applying Above-Threshold Direct Awards -

Non-competitive procurement has always been a contentious issue in public procurement — when and under what conditions it should be permitted. It is simpler and faster than competitive tendering, but for that very reason carries greater risks of overpayment, corruption, and simply inefficient decisions. Prior to the full-scale war, contracting authorities could use the negotiated procedure in exceptional circumstances instead of open tendering. Resolution No. 1178, which governs the specific features of procurement under martial law, replaced it with direct awards, under which a contracting authority simply reports the outcome in the system. The list of grounds on which competitive procedures may be dispensed with has also grown. Indeed, ever since, it has been continuously expanding or contracting — amendments to that list in the Resolution have been made 18 times to date. At the same time, as far back as its 2024 Enlargement Report on Ukraine, the European Commission called on Ukraine to reduce the list of grounds for above-threshold direct contracts to a minimum.

Above-threshold status is determined by the aggregate estimated value of procurement within a single item, specifically a CPV class. Under martial law, the threshold is UAH 100,000 for goods and services, UAH 200,000 for current repair services, and UAH 1.5 million for works.

We set out to examine how contracting authorities conduct above-threshold direct contracts: which grounds they invoke most frequently, which sectors account for the greatest share of such procurement, and how the situation has changed compared with the era of the negotiated procedure.

For the analysis, we used data exported for us by the state enterprise Prozorro (for which we are grateful) and data from the BI Prozorro analytics module. To identify the relevant procurement, we applied the logic that above-threshold direct award lots are those in which the electronic field for the ground for using a non-competitive procurement method has been completed. We acknowledge that in isolated cases contracting authorities may have inadvertently completed this field when simply reporting a below-threshold procurement. However, even under the worst and highly unrealistic scenario, that margin of error amounts to approximately UAH 3 billion in monetary terms, which has no material effect on the results of the analysis. Contracting authorities also occasionally indicate an incorrect ground in the electronic field — we manually corrected such deficiencies in a number of the largest procurements, but in all other cases relied on the electronic field.

The study uses data covering the period from July 30, 2024, the date on which this field became mandatory, through September 30, 2025 — the last complete month before we commenced the analysis. We also excluded from the sample procurement with unverified or inaccurate data that could distort the results: 358 lots totalling approximately UAH 124 million that were cancelled, contained technical errors, or were test procurements. A further 303 lots totaling UAH 86 million were excluded separately, as the contracting authorities in those cases were entities that do not qualify as contracting authorities within the meaning of the Law on Public Procurement — for example, certain commercial entities or organizations without public funding. Contract values have been converted throughout into the national currency.

We have also used the wording of the grounds for non-competitive procedures as they appear in the Prozorro electronic field, together with abbreviated versions thereof. The wording as set out in Resolution No. 1178 is available via the link.

Summary

Over 14 months, contracting authorities concluded 257,000 above-threshold direct award contracts totaling UAH 401.7 billion. This represents approximately 6% of the total number of contracts in the system and nearly 28% of their aggregate value. While the number of such procurements is relatively modest, their financial scale is significant.

At the same time, almost half of the total value (43.3%) of above-threshold direct contracts relates to the procurement of natural gas by a contracting authority on which the government has imposed public service obligations. These are reports on the sale of gas within the Naftogaz group, which became mandatory in 2023. Such procurements may distort the statistics and overstate the problem of direct non-competitive awards in Prozorro, including in the eyes of international partners.

Overall, the situation regarding non-competitive above-threshold procurement would be improved by reinstating the negotiated procedure. Excluding natural gas procurement within the Naftogaz group, approximately 70% of contract value currently consists of procurement conducted on grounds for which the negotiated procedure was previously required. The negotiated procedure provides for consultations with several suppliers where possible, and for a review mechanism, both of which reduce the risk of infringements and inefficient decisions.

Volumes and dynamics of procurement

From July 30, 2024, to September 30, 2025, contracting authorities concluded 257,000 above-threshold direct award contracts. Their value at the time of the study stood at UAH 401.7 billion — nearly 28% of the aggregate current value of contracts concluded during that period. While their value share is significant, the number of such procurements is moderate, at 5.87% of the total.

Contracting authority activity is largely governed by the budgetary and planning cycle. A gradual increase in the number of lots and total contract value is observed through to January 2025, followed by a steady decline through March. This pattern mirrors the general trend across all procurement methods and may be explained by a combination of seasonal factors, the desire to use up budget appropriations before the year-end, and procurements for the new year. In the seasonality analysis, we excluded reports on natural gas procurement within the Naftogaz group, as they significantly distorted the statistics.

This means that the planning and management of budgetary resources in the direct award segment of procurement require heightened attention during the peak season, in order to prevent inefficient use of funds and potential procurement risks.

Grounds applied by contracting authorities

Over the 14 months under review, 84.4% of the value of above-threshold direct awards fell within the five most common grounds out of nearly three dozen. These were:

Procurement of natural gas by an entity subject to public service obligations — 43.3%. In four such procurements totaling UAH 82.8 billion, the contracting authority indicated an incorrect ground in the electronic field; these were added manually on the basis of the justification document.
Absence of competition on technical grounds — 19.1%.
Protection of critical infrastructure and energy facilities — 8.1%.
Procurement on grounds of urgent need — 7.6%.
Open tendering canceled due to absence of tenders — 6.4%.

By number of lots, four grounds account for 78.1% of procurements:

Absence of competition on technical grounds — 29.9%.
Open tendering canceled due to the absence of tenders — 18.3%.
Procurement on grounds of urgent need — 15.7%.
Legal services — 14.2%.

Each of these grounds has its own application characteristics and associated risks.

On the ground of absence of competition on technical grounds, contracting authorities may conduct procurement from natural monopolies (where the absence of competition has been formally recognized by the Antimonopoly Committee) or in other circumstances. To roughly estimate the share of procurements conducted specifically from natural monopolies, we used the AMCU’s consolidated register of natural monopolies as of October 31, 2025. They account for 56.1% of procurements on the ground of absence of competition on technical grounds by number of lots, and 51.8% by value.

In other cases, the absence of competition may arise from vendor lock-in, where changing a contractor is disadvantageous or altogether impossible. In IT service procurement, for example, such dependency may arise from the architecture of the IT product, the absence of comprehensive technical documentation, or the use of niche programming languages. The effective monopolization by developers of the right to further develop solutions they have created can lead to rising service costs and reduced motivation for the contractor to innovate or improve quality in the absence of competition. This issue is examined in greater detail in the study on IT procurement in Prozorro. That said, not every restriction of competition is unambiguously negative or the result of bad faith on the part of the contracting authority or supplier. In a number of situations — in particular those relating to national security, defense capability, or the protection of critical infrastructure — the use of proprietary technical solutions, closed architectures, or a limited pool of contractors may be objectively justified and aimed at minimizing risks to the state. The same applies to other procurement subjects.

In direct contracts on grounds of urgent need, there is a risk that the need is not in fact genuinely urgent — or that it became urgent as a result of the contracting authority’s own actions in failing to procure earlier. The number of procurements on this ground increases toward the end of the budgetary year — between September and December, that number rises by approximately 50%. It is therefore most likely that contracting authorities also invoke this ground simply when they need to use up appropriations within the budgetary year.

When a contracting authority concludes a direct contract because no one submitted a tender, the terms of that direct award must be identical to those of the original tender. However, whether contracting authorities comply with this in practice — for example, whether they require counterparties to provide all the certificates they requested from bidders in the failed competition — is difficult to verify, since only the contract itself is published in the system. There are instances where contracting authorities conclude several contracts instead of one.

Among direct contracts for legal services, high-volume procurement of small amounts is combined with a number of large strategic contracts. 65% of total procurement value is concentrated among five contracting authorities: Ukrnafta JSC, National Joint Stock Company Naftogaz of Ukraine, Dnipro Metropolitan Municipal Enterprise, and the Eastern and South-Eastern Interregional Centers for the Provision of Free Legal Aid. By number of lots, however, nearly 97% belong to the last two legal aid centers, which systematically procure legal representation services for the provision of secondary free legal aid. We also investigated how other such inter-regional centers procure legal services. It emerged that they too conclude numerous small direct contracts en masse, but do not indicate the ground in the electronic field. In total, the number of such lots from legal aid centers over the period under review was nearly 73,000, totaling UAH 646 million.

In the case of legal services, the question arises as to whether direct contracts should in fact be permitted at all for such services. Legal advisory and legal representation services, for example, are procured competitively. Similarly, competitive procedures are used to procure a range of other high-expertise services — such as consulting or audit.

What is being procured

Contracting authorities most frequently used above-threshold non-competitive procurement for the purchase of services. Services account for 57.47% of all such procurements — over 147,000 of the 257,000 lots. In monetary terms, however, services represent only 19.7% of the aggregate contract value. This indicates that the majority of service procurements are small in value but large in volume.

The situation with goods is quite different. Although fewer in number than services — 40.15% of the total, or over 103,000 lots — goods account for nearly two-thirds of the total value of direct contracts, approximately UAH 255 billion.

Works have the smallest share — only 2.38% by number, or approximately 6,000 lots. In value terms, however, they account for 16.88% of all above-threshold non-competitive procurements (nearly UAH 68 billion).

If one drills down into CPV codes, the value of direct awards is heavily concentrated in three categories, which together account for over 69% of total contract value. Certain categories generate a substantial share of contract value despite a relatively low number of lots.

Gaseous fuels (09120000-6) is the key category by financial volume. Despite its modest share of the total number of lots, gas accounts for the largest share of contract value. One reason is the obligation on Naftogaz Trading LLC, a gas supply company, to report on its procurement of natural gas from its own parent company and other entities within the group. This subsidiary of NAC Naftogaz of Ukraine conducts wholesale sales of natural gas to industrial consumers, budget institutions, and suppliers.

It is also worth noting that nearly 8,700 gas supply contracts were concluded via direct award following unsuccessful competitive tendering. During the period under review, only 8.3% of competitive procurements of this commodity were successfully completed.

Ukraine has committed to ensuring a free market for electricity and gaseous fuels. At the same time, the government has imposed public service obligations on Naftogaz Trading LLC — the company is required to supply natural gas to budget institutions at a preferential tariff. No separate rules have been established for this situation, so contracting authorities are required to launch open tendering, which no one participates in due to the low estimated value, and then conclude a direct contract with the Naftogaz company at a low price. Occasionally — in summer, for example, when the price of the commodity is lower — competitive tendering does succeed. Overall, however, considerable resources are expended on formal procedures.

Construction works (CPV 45000000-7): For the analysis of this sector, we consolidated all procurements by the second digit of the CPV code, since the procurement item here is defined by reference to the object rather than the classifier. Three grounds account for 75.7% of the total value of above-threshold direct awards in this sector, while together representing only 51.3% of the number of lots. These are: protection of critical infrastructure and energy facilities, urgent need, and the procurement of additional works under the main contract (up to 50%). The need to procure additional works indicates potential issues with the quality of project design and the accuracy of cost estimates at the planning stage, including owing to the complexity of such projects.

Direct contracts on grounds of absence of any tender submission are high in number but account for a relatively small share of value. Insufficient competition in this sector may point to potential barriers to participation — for example, excessive requirements in tender documentation — or to a limited pool of contractors.

Steam, hot water, and associated products (09320000-8) are characterized by a high share of procedures conducted on the ground of absence of competition on technical grounds. This is consistent with the nature of the market, where supply is often provided by local monopolies and the possibility of choosing an alternative supplier is limited.

Although the categories Electrical energy (09310000-5) and Distribution of electrical energy (65310000-9) belong to the same sector, they exhibit a different structure of grounds for above-threshold direct awards. In electricity procurement as a commodity, one ground dominates by a wide margin (approximately 70%), both by value and by number of procedures — namely the conclusion of a contract with a supplier of last resort or a universal service provider. A significant share (21%) also relates to absence of competition on technical grounds and cancellation of tendering due to absence of tenders. This structure indicates that in this category the use of direct contracts is substantially dependent on the quality of procurement planning and the level of market activity among suppliers.

By contrast, electrical energy distribution services within a given territory are provided by a single distribution system operator, and tariffs are set by the state regulator. In these circumstances, the predominance of the ground “absence of competition on technical grounds” — 95.5% by number and 97.6% by value of contracts — is objective in nature and results from the natural monopoly position of the relevant operators.

Thus, despite their sectoral proximity, these two categories exhibit different models of non-competitive procurement and require different approaches to risk assessment.

Since some of the grounds for above-threshold non-competitive procurement are tied to the subject matter of the procurement, the presence of certain categories at the top was expected — for example, natural gas or legal services. Overall, the bulk of above-threshold direct contracts relates to the procurement of various energy carriers.

In each category, a few principal grounds for direct contracts predominate. The choice of which to invoke may, however, be influenced by a variety of circumstances: technical constraints, absence of competitors, or urgent needs.

Contracting authorities do sometimes indicate incorrect grounds. For example, gaseous fuel was purchased under the ground for the procurement of hematopoietic stem cells. At the same time, among contracts for natural gas with suppliers subject to public service obligations, contracts for the supply of gas to schools do appear. However, such instances were not sufficiently widespread to have a material effect on overall statistics by value.

Helicopters, airplanes, spacecraft, and other motor-powered aircraft (34710000-7): Procurements in this category are primarily directed at meeting the urgent needs of the Armed Forces of Ukraine or are accounted for by contracting authorities located in areas of active hostilities.

Monitoring of direct contracts

The State Audit Service covered 1,062 lots — 0.41% of above-threshold direct awards conducted during the period under review — through monitoring. In competitive procurement, monitoring coverage is nearly seven times higher, at 2.73% of the total number of procurements eligible for monitoring. The same trend is observed in value terms: monitoring covers only 2.3% of the aggregate value of above-threshold direct award contracts, compared with 20.9% in the competitive segment. Even excluding the value of natural gas procurement within the Naftogaz group, as well as procurements from natural monopolies, suppliers of last resort, and universal service providers, coverage reaches only 5% of the value of direct contracts. This gap relative to competitive procurement indicates that direct awards remain largely outside the monitoring focus. Yet they too require oversight, since they do not provide for competition or safeguards such as review before the AMCU.

The largest monitoring volumes relate to the construction sector (CPV 45) and the energy sector (CPV 09), where contract values run into the billions of hryvnias. Overall, monitoring activity is concentrated in sectors with high financial exposure and an elevated risk of inefficient use of funds. Significant attention is also devoted to industrial machinery (CPV 42) and repair and maintenance services (CPV 50).

At the same time, the top three sectors by number of monitoring instances include accommodation, catering, and retail trade services (CPV 55), with a combined value of over UAH 90 million. In 98% of cases, these involve catering services for educational establishments. Such procurements were monitored primarily by the directorates of the Western Office of the State Audit Service, in particular in Khmelnytskyi and Ternopil regions, where they were examined three times more frequently than construction procurements. Violations found under this CPV related predominantly to the failure to publish, or untimely publication of, the justification for the procurement ground. Accordingly, most monitoring instances resulted in auditors requiring explanatory work and training of authorized persons to be carried out.

Overall, violations in above-threshold direct awards were identified by auditors during monitoring in 67.8% of cases. This figure is slightly higher than in competitive procurement, where it stands at 61.3%. While a gap of 6 percentage points is not critically large, it may indicate that direct non-competitive procurement carries elevated risks of non-compliance with legislation. It is important, however, to understand what types of violations auditors are actually identifying. Doing so comprehensively is difficult, since in the electronic field on Prozorro, the State Audit Service almost invariably classifies the type of violation as “Other violations of procurement legislation,” and details must be sought manually in the text of the audit finding. It would therefore be worthwhile to update the violation categories in the system and apply them consistently, so as to enable analysis of the problems arising in direct procurement.

In summary, above-threshold direct awards warrant greater monitoring coverage. The State Audit Service generally selects sectors for monitoring well — concentrating on construction, energy, and related sectors, where procurement volumes are largest and corruption risks are highest. The Western Office’s excessive focus on catering service procurements for educational establishments is questionable. Such procurements are not particularly widespread, are comparatively small in value, and the violations associated with them largely concern failure to publish or untimely publication of information. The Office would therefore benefit from refining its methodology for selecting above-threshold direct awards for monitoring.

Contract modifications

Modifications were made to contracts in 36,700 lots, representing over 14% of the total number of above-threshold direct award procurements. The aggregate value of modified contracts reached UAH 140 billion, or nearly 35% of the total value of all contracts in this segment. By comparison, in competitive procurement, modifications occurred more frequently: they affected 21.8% of lots and 44.7% of the total value of contracts over the corresponding period. The data indicate that while contract modifications in above-threshold direct awards are recorded less frequently than in competitive procurement, their financial scale remains significant. The majority of modified contracts relate to cases where the ground for using direct awards was absence of competition on technical grounds (41.81% of all modified contracts) or absence of tenders in open tendering (32.53% of all modified contracts). Their shares are high because these are overall the most common grounds for above-threshold direct awards. If one looks at what share of contracts were modified within each direct award ground, the leaders are as follows:

Procurement of natural gas by an entity subject to public service obligations — modifications in 38.34% of contracts (41.2% for Naftogaz group procurements specifically)
Procurement of additional works or services from the same economic operator, up to 50% of the price of the previous/existing contract — 28.11% of contracts
No tender submitted — 25.38%.

In order to assess the justification for these modifications and the potential risk of abuse, it is necessary to conduct further in-depth analysis of their substance.

Comparison with the negotiated procedure

The negotiated procedure was abandoned in the first year of the full-scale invasion in favor of an even more flexible mechanism. Under Resolution No. 1178, the grounds for the negotiated procedure became the grounds for direct awards. In the early period, such changes may have been justified to meet the needs of contracting authorities, in particular for defense, energy, and critical infrastructure. However, this expansion of contracting authority discretion creates risks of manipulation and circumvention of competitive procedures, whereby a portion of procurements are concluded as direct contracts without adequate scrutiny of the grounds invoked.

Over the comparable period from July 30, 2020, to September 30, 2021 — the years immediately preceding the full-scale invasion — contracting authorities conducted 100,600 negotiated procedures, under which contracts totaling UAH 101.7 billion were concluded. This amounts to an average of 7,200 contracts per month valued at UAH 7.3 billion. This is considerably lower than the current figure — during the period under review, an average of 18,400 above-threshold direct award contracts per month were concluded, valued at UAH 28.7 billion. In other words, the number of such lots has more than doubled overall, and the contract volume has increased nearly fourfold. Two factors should of course be taken into account:

High inflation over recent years, and
The increase in the number of grounds for above-threshold direct awards.

In both the negotiated procedure and the direct awards conducted under the wartime special rules, absence of competition on technical grounds remains the leading ground by number and by value of expenditure. Under the negotiated procedure, this ground accounts for nearly 52% of lots and over 50% of contract value. The same ground also ranks first in direct awards under the special rules — nearly 30% of contracts and 19% of total contract value. The list of the most common grounds under the negotiated procedure, which together account for 95.7% of contract value, is as follows:

Absence of competition on technical grounds — UAH 51.8 billion (50.9%) by contract value and 52% by number of lots.
No tender submitted — UAH 21.4 billion (21%) and 30% of lots.
Need to carry out additional construction works — UAH 15.6 billion (15.3%) and 2.5% of lots.
Urgent need (across all sub-paragraphs of this ground in the Law) — UAH 6 billion (5.9%) and 3.9% of lots.
Need to protect intellectual property rights — UAH 2.6 billion (2.6%) and 2.2% of lots.

By type of procurement subject, the distribution in negotiated procedures is similar to that in direct contracts. The only material difference was in the value of goods and services. Previously they accounted for 37% and 48% of contract value respectively, whereas now goods take a larger share — 63% versus 20%.

The largest expenditure under the negotiated procedure was also concentrated in energy resources and construction. At that time, however, natural gas did not dominate contract values to nearly the same extent. Reporting on natural gas procurement within the Naftogaz group did not yet exist, and procurements from the supplier of last resort were also significantly smaller in volume.

Excluding gas procurement within the Naftogaz group, grounds on which contracting authorities previously conducted the negotiated procedure currently account for 70.2% of the value of above-threshold direct awards. This means that a substantial share of the direct procurement market could potentially have been channeled through a more controlled procedure that ensures transparency and competitiveness.

The application of the negotiated procedure offers significant institutional advantages: it allows for consultations with several potential suppliers prior to contract conclusion and provides a mechanism for the review of decisions. Even where review is rare — occurring in fewer than 1% of cases — the very existence of this instrument has a deterrent effect and reduces the risk of non-competitive procurement, including procurement justified by an alleged absence of competition.

Reinstating the negotiated procedure can thus serve as an effective mechanism for enhancing transparency and minimizing risks in the direct award segment, where oversight and competition are currently limited.

Conclusions

From July 30, 2024 to September 30, 2025, contracting authorities concluded 257,000 above-threshold direct award contracts totaling UAH 401.7 billion. This represents approximately 6% of the total number of contracts in the system and nearly 28% of their aggregate value. While the number of such procurements is relatively modest, their financial scale is significant.

Nearly half of the total value (43.3%) of above-threshold direct awards relates to natural gas procurement by a contracting authority on which the government has imposed public service obligations — that is, to reports on the sale of this commodity within the Naftogaz group. This raises the question of whether such reports on Prozorro are necessary at all: prior to 2023, they were not published.

A large volume of gas procurement — 8,700 contracts — is also concluded as direct awards following unsuccessful tendering. Contracting authorities succeeded in completing only 8.3% of such competitive procurements. A solution must be developed with the involvement of both the Ministry of Economy and the Ministry of Energy, since a quasi-free gas market has now taken shape in public procurement: contracting authorities nominally have the option of purchasing from any supplier, but are in practice compelled to conduct fruitless tendering.

Particular attention should also be paid to procurement on grounds of urgent need — the use of this ground increases by approximately 50% toward the end of the budgetary year. It is therefore likely that a portion of such procurements are conducted not so much because of genuinely urgent circumstances as because of budgetary management challenges. This, however, requires further investigation.

In addition, it would be advisable to technically link, within Prozorro, unsuccessful open tendering to the subsequent non-competitive procurement conducted as a result of its cancellation. This would enhance the transparency of such procurement and improve oversight of contracting authorities’ compliance with the terms of the original tender in the context of direct awards.

Direct awards can be retained as exceptions for circumstances arising specifically from martial law — for example, where a contracting authority is located in an area of active hostilities. At the same time, a number of grounds should be reconsidered altogether — whether they are in fact necessary. Some grounds have been indicated in the system in only a handful or a few dozen procurements. It would also be appropriate to explore alternative procurement methods for the purchase of free legal aid services — for example, framework agreements.

For both the negotiated procedure and direct contracts to function effectively, it is important to train contracting authorities — in particular on how best to determine the value of such contracts and select a supplier.

Finally, above-threshold direct awards are currently subject to monitoring at a rate seven times lower than competitive procurement — only 2.26% of value compared with 20.9%. They require greater oversight, with a focus on higher-value procurements and material violations.

This research was prepared within the framework of the “Digitalization for Growth, Integrity, and Transparency” (UK DIGIT) project, implemented by the Eurasia Foundation and funded by UK Dev.

The research was produced with the financial support of the UK Government’s International Development Assistance Programme. The contents of this material are the sole responsibility of Transparency International Ukraine; the views expressed do not necessarily reflect the official policy of the Government of the United Kingdom.

This research was developed by

Team lead:

Ivan Lakhtionov, Deputy Executive Director of TI Ukraine for Innovative Projects

Authors of the research:

Pavlo Dehtiariov, researcher of DOZORRO TI Ukraine project

Kateryna Rusina, Project Manager at DOZORRO

ProZorro

Billions Outside Prozorro: An Analysis of the Grounds for Applying Above-Threshold Direct Awards